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Barclays' Chief UK and European Economists examine the economic and geopolitical implications of Brexit, the debates that may be triggered in other EU states, and a timeline of key events.

Brexit and Europe: The question of contagion

Barclays' Chief UK and European Economists examine the economic and geopolitical implications of Brexit, the debates that may be triggered in other EU states, and a timeline of key events.

Daily Insights 

July 29 2016

JPY surges on disappointing BoJ decision

• The BoJ left the IOER and its monetary base target (at JPY80trn) unchanged but expanded its ETF purchases to JPY6trn. The JPY rose c.2% against the USD before retracing, as the decision disappointed markets. Asian equities fell overnight, the Nikkei slumped 2% before recovering back into positive territory. Trading was halted in JGB bond futures and options this morning ahead of the BoJ decision, but the JGB 10y yield climbed 9bp, to -0.195%, after the announcement.


• European equities are broadly higher, with Eurostoxx banks outperforming following earnings reports (+2.3%), investors will closely watch the regions bank stress test results to be published at 9pm BST today. Oil prices continue to decline following the bearish DOE report, with Brent falling to $42.14/bbl. Euro area Q2 16 real GDP growth slowed to 0.3% q/q, after a strong first-quarter result of 0.6% q/q. Unemployment rate stayed unchanged, while July core CPI was stable at 0.9%y/y and headline rose 0.1% to 0.2% y/y. The details of the July inflation report suggest that the July rise in headline inflation is unlikely to reflect a genuine build up of underlying price pressure.
 

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Igniting growth with our clients

Our financial advice and access to investment capital helps transform clients' business ideas into long-term growth and innovation. Together, those ideas are the fuel that ignites progress for the global economy and society. 
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Q3 Global Outlook: Playing defense

Our Research team examines an economic and financial backdrop that has been materially altered by UK voters’ unexpected decision to leave the European Union.

Watch our Q3 Global Outlook videoWatch our Q3 Global Outlook video

The macro impact of megacities

“We’re accelerating into a future shaped less by countries than by connectivity.”
Parag Khanna, leading global strategist and best-selling author spoke at The Barclays Macro Forum about how megacities are changing the map of the world. 
WatchWatch how

Can financial institutions innovate from within?

Leaders from AIG, Barclays, BlackRock, Goldman Sachs and Kasisto weighed in on the challenges of innovating from within and gave their best advice to FinTech start ups at the Partnership for New York 2016 FinTech Innovation Lab panel.

Watch the highlightsWatch highlights of the Partnership for New York 2016 FinTech Innovation Panel
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