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Following his participation at the Barclays Markets Forum 2017, Robert D. Kaplan, author, senior fellow at the Center for a New American Security, and a Senior Advisor at Eurasia Group, spoke to Barclays’ Head of FX Strategy, Marvin Barth.

In these videos he responds to questions on migration and the culture of geopolitics.

Migration – the big picture

Featured: Marvin Barth – MD, Head of FX Strategy, Barclays; Robert D. Kaplan – Foreign Correspondent and Best-selling Author

How can Europe adjust to expected high levels of migration in the coming decades?

  • The population of Africa is expected to grow to between 3 or 4 billion from its current 1 billion by the end of this century, which is likely to lead to mass migration.
  • Economic growth in Africa will give more people the opportunity to seek opportunities elsewhere.
  • Increased migration, jet travel, and globalisation heighten the chances of disease pandemics becoming a national security threat.

 

The culture of geopolitics

Featured: Marvin Barth – MD, Head of FX Strategy, Barclays; Robert D. Kaplan – Foreign Correspondent and Best-selling Author

How can the importance of culture explain the tension not only in local political agendas, but also in geopolitics?

  • Culture and geography are inseparable. Culture is the experience of a large group of people in a particular geography over thousands of years.
  • Global elites pursue a global identity, where everyone is a global cosmopolitan.
  • The average person, however, needs to feel part of a nation living in a smaller geographic landscape.
  • These opposing needs create tension.
     

Read more

Authorised clients of Barclays Investment Bank can log in to read Marvin Barth’s recent FX Views, or his aforementioned Politics of Rage reports on Barclays Live.

For further information about Barclays Research offering, please contact barclayslive@barclays.com. 

About the analyst

Marvin Barth is a Managing Director and Head of FX Strategy, leading the firm’s global FX research product from London. Prior to joining Barclays in January 2014, Marvin spent five years as a strategist and as a portfolio manager in the US for Covariance Capital Management and Tennenbaum Capital Partners, spanning multiple liquid and illiquid assets. Previously, he spent three years at Citigroup in London and was responsible for the firm’s fundamental economic views on the G10 FX markets.

Marvin also has extensive policymaking experience as the former Chief Economist for International Affairs at the US Treasury Department, as well as an international economist at the Federal Reserve Board and at the Bank of International Settlements.

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