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Investment Bank

Investment Bank

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The U.S. administration’s toughened stance on trade has caused escalating tensions with China, Mexico, Canada and Europe. The short- and long-term economic effects will be varied depending on the extent of tit-for-tat trade tariffs and the related re-negotiations of existing trade agreements.

In this podcast episode, Jeff Meli, Co-Head of Research, sits down with Marvin Barth, Head of FX and Emerging Markets Macro Research, to debate some of the factors contributing to, and possibly resulting from, the state of global trade conflict. Jeff and Marvin’s dialogue analyses issues ranging from protectionism and inflation to what the potential implications of a full-blown trade war may be on the U.S. and global economies.

To download this episode and subscribe to The Flip Side podcast series, please visit:

Authorised clients of Barclays Investment Bank can dive deeper into this issue by logging in to Barclays Live to view the full report, entitled Three questions: Trading places.

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About the analysts

Marvin Barth is a Managing Director and Head of FX Strategy, leading the firm’s global FX research product from London. Prior to joining Barclays in January 2014, Marvin spent five years as a strategist and as a portfolio manager in the US for Covariance Capital Management and Tennenbaum Capital Partners, spanning multiple liquid and illiquid assets. Previously, he spent three years at Citigroup in London and was responsible for the firm’s fundamental economic views on the G10 FX markets. Marvin also has extensive policymaking experience as the former Chief Economist for International Affairs at the US Treasury Department, as well as an international economist at the Federal Reserve Board and at the Bank of International Settlements.

Jeff Meli is Co-Head of Research within the Investment Bank at Barclays. Jeff joined Barclays in 2005, as Head of US Credit Strategy Research. He later became Head of Credit Research, playing a key role in the expansion of the firm’s credit research franchise. He has taken on a number of other senior positions since then and was most recently Co-Head of FICC Research before being named Co-Head of Research globally. Jeff spearheaded the firm’s response to regulatory changes in Macro and Credit Research, as well as under MIFID II, representing the firm in conversations with regulators and as part of industry working groups. Previously, he worked at Deutsche Bank and JP Morgan, with a focus on structured credit. Jeff has a PhD in Finance from the University of Chicago and an AB in Mathematics from Princeton.

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