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COVID-19: Limited effects outside Asia, so far

  • In China, there are signs that the COVID-19 outbreak could stabilise by the end of February outside Hubei province as we had expected. 
  • Nevertheless, we fear the economic impact in Asia could be larger than we thought, as more disruptions have been reported owing to containment measures.

  • As a result of lower growth prospects in the region in conjunction with the COVID-19 outbreak, Asian central banks have swiftly adopted an easing bias.
  • By contrast, European and US growth seems to be holding up well, and we continue to expect central banks to remain on hold for the whole of 2020.



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