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Barclays' Chief UK and European Economists examine the economic and geopolitical implications of Brexit, the debates that may be triggered in other EU states, and a timeline of key events.

Brexit and Europe: The question of contagion

Barclays' Chief UK and European Economists examine the economic and geopolitical implications of Brexit, the debates that may be triggered in other EU states, and a timeline of key events.

Daily Insights 

July 27 2016

JPY fluctuates on stimulus uncertainty

Ahead of the key Fed and BoJ policy meetings, European stock and bond markets have consolidated despite notable JGB longer end curve steepening overnight. In the UK, Q2 GDP data came in stronger than expected while Gilts kept pace with EGBs in their resilience. In EGBs, we continue to like long 7y French ASW and Portuguese 4s/30s steepener.


USDJPY had a volatile morning session, with various (and some conflicting) headlines on upcoming policy measures. The JPY weakened sharply following media reports that fiscal stimulus would be JPY27trn (with PM Abe expected to reveal details later today; Fuji Network News), and that the Ministry of Finance is considering the issuance of 50y JGBs (WSJ). However, the currency recovered most of the losses as the JGB issuance report was later denied by the MoF (Reuters).
 

Read all of today's InsightsRead all of today's Insights
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Igniting growth with our clients

Our financial advice and access to investment capital helps transform clients' business ideas into long-term growth and innovation. Together, those ideas are the fuel that ignites progress for the global economy and society. 
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Q3 Global Outlook: Playing defense

Our Research team examines an economic and financial backdrop that has been materially altered by UK voters’ unexpected decision to leave the European Union.

Watch our Q3 Global Outlook videoWatch our Q3 Global Outlook video

The macro impact of megacities

“We’re accelerating into a future shaped less by countries than by connectivity.”
Parag Khanna, leading global strategist and best-selling author spoke at The Barclays Macro Forum about how megacities are changing the map of the world. 
WatchWatch how

Can financial institutions innovate from within?

Leaders from AIG, Barclays, BlackRock, Goldman Sachs and Kasisto weighed in on the challenges of innovating from within and gave their best advice to FinTech start ups at the Partnership for New York 2016 FinTech Innovation Lab panel.

Watch the highlightsWatch highlights of the Partnership for New York 2016 FinTech Innovation Panel
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