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Barclays' Chief UK and European Economists examine the economic and geopolitical implications of Brexit, the debates that may be triggered in other EU states, and a timeline of key events.

Brexit and Europe: The question of contagion

Barclays' Chief UK and European Economists examine the economic and geopolitical implications of Brexit, the debates that may be triggered in other EU states, and a timeline of key events.

Daily Insights 

July 25, 2016

Positive start to the week

  • European stock markets were up in the morning, extending their modest rally on Friday and following a relatively firm tone in Asian equities overnight. Peripheral EGB spreads were generally richer, led by Portugal, with the Bund selling-off.
  • Higher growth expectations in the US. We have raised our official forecast for Q2 GDP growth to 2.5% q/q saar, from 2.0% previously. Solid growth in consumption expenditure has driven our expectations higher. Later this week, we expect no change in the target range for the federal funds rate in July in the FOMC meeting, and believe the statement will acknowledge the improvement in activity and labour markets during the intermeeting period. We expect Fed officials to wait until the Jackson Hole meetings in August for more decisive signals about a September hike.
Read all of today's InsightsRead all of today's Insights
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Igniting growth with our clients

Our financial advice and access to investment capital helps transform clients' business ideas into long-term growth and innovation. Together, those ideas are the fuel that ignites progress for the global economy and society. 
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Q3 Global Outlook: Playing defense

Our Research team examines an economic and financial backdrop that has been materially altered by UK voters’ unexpected decision to leave the European Union.

Watch our Q3 Global Outlook videoWatch our Q3 Global Outlook video

The macro impact of megacities

“We’re accelerating into a future shaped less by countries than by connectivity.”
Parag Khanna, leading global strategist and best-selling author spoke at The Barclays Macro Forum about how megacities are changing the map of the world. 
WatchWatch how

Can financial institutions innovate from within?

Leaders from AIG, Barclays, BlackRock, Goldman Sachs and Kasisto weighed in on the challenges of innovating from within and gave their best advice to FinTech start ups at the Partnership for New York 2016 FinTech Innovation Lab panel.

Watch the highlightsWatch highlights of the Partnership for New York 2016 FinTech Innovation Panel
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